Last modified: 2023-02-16
Abstract
Laying hen farms regarded as a rural capital intensive business which could generate higher income than other farming such as rice farm, but some previous research also reveals high risk on laying farms. To deal with the risks some factors must be managed simultaneously such as : egg and feed price fluctuation, raising operational and investment cost, decreasing farm productivity (hens day production /HDP). This research is aimed : (i) to design Monte Carlo simulation that can explain proper capital management (ii) describe effect of variables fluctuation to farm performance.
Research method was survey by interviewing small and medium rearing scale laying hen farms in southwest Java Indonesia. The data gathered is analyzed on the basis of capital structure and the relation to long term profitability using Monte Carlo financial simulation. Research result show that simulation model can explain rearing capacity, feed price, egg price variables relate to farm performance. Proper operational cost management on small scale laying hen farms still insufficient to support long term farm’s sustainability. Higher cash flow in laying hen farms tends to make farmers raise their family expenses rapidly .